Fair Price, Optimal Price

Businesses seek to maximize the value they can obtain from their revenue models.  Price is the key lever decision-makers can operate to influence revenue, and in recent years a growing number of businesses have sought to implement strategies for actively managing the price lever – strategies such as demand management and revenue optimization.  However businesses are also highly sensitive to the perception by individual consumers and the society at large that their prices are fair, in other words that they do not violate widely held individual or societal norms.  Fair pricing matters – it matters to me, and to you, and perhaps ever more so in a climate characterized by economic uncertainty, downward pressure on demand and a perceptible decrease in the citizenry’s trust of public and private institutions.

Fortunately for business decision-makers, fair pricing and optimal pricing are not at odds with each other but can comfortably coexist.  Over the course of the coming weeks my colleagues at Sentrana and I will be approaching the rich topic of fair pricing in a series of exchanges on this blog.

debating the age-old question of fair price

debating the age-old question of fair price

What is a fair price?  This question has perplexed humanity throughout history.  Leading thought output of the ages, from Aristotle’s Nicomachean Ethics to the Summa Theologicae of  Thomas Aquinas, Pierre de Fermat’s probability proofs and Adam Smith’s classsical economics, have all weighed in with considered opinions on the fairness and justness of alternative ways to price economic goods and services, and the debate continues today.  A series of letters exchanged between Blaise Pascal and Pierre de Fermat in 1654 is often regarded as a primal cause of the development of modern probability theory: this exchange was actually an attempt to establish a scientific basis for the notion of fair price.  In his paper “The Unity and Diversity of Probability” Rutgers professor Glenn Shafer shows how these letters created hypothetical games of value that we today can recognize as the application of probability methods to defend a price as ‘fair’ under conditions of uncertainty. Continue reading

From 1.0 to 4.0 in 130,000 Years: Pricing’s Extraordinary Adventure from Haggling to Scientific Micromarketing

Pricing has evolved from the ancient art of haggling to the application of scientific methods to the micromarket.  In a sense we are going back to the unique knowledge of individual customers and products that existed in the old bazaars and town squares – but we’re armed with powerful technological tools of the 21st century.  The world of Pricing 4.0 is upon us.

But let’s start at the beginning.  In the beginning there was the trade, and the trade saved humanity.  Seriously.

Homo neanderthalensis – Neanderthal man – had been occupying the planet for about 200,000 years when our ancestral gene pool, Homo sapiens, showed up on the scene (both species evolved from a common ancestor Homo habilis that had begun to make and use basic tools about 2.5 Ma (million years ago), but their evolutionary paths diverged some 600,000 Ma).  Despite what would seem to be a solid first-mover advantage thriving in the harsh Ice Age climate of Europe and Western Asia, Neanderthal man vanished from the face of the earth sometime around 30,000 years ago while the progeny of H. sapiens went on to give the world the Hanging Gardens of Babylon, Magna Carta and How I Met Your Mother.  In 2005 academicians Richard Horan, Erwin Bulte and Jason Shogren presented a well-researched argument for why this happened: trade.  According to their paper “How Trade Saved Humanity from Biological Extinction: An Economic Theory of Neanderthal Extinction” it appears that our ancestors had particularly honed skills in organizing specialized activities such as tool-making, and trading their goods between different social organizations.  As the Ice Age melted and populations grew and migrated, the skills of free trade became an evolutionary competitive edge. Continue reading